Decision Making: Evidence-based growth guides

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Cognitive biases are systematic and predictable. Understanding them is the first step to overriding them.

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Biases are systematic, predictable errors in human reasoning. Cataloguing them is step one; building systems to counteract them is step two.

A pre-mortem is a structured technique that generates anticipation of failure — and it consistently improves planning and decision quality.

First-order thinking asks "what will happen?" Second-order thinking asks "and then what?" This single shift changes the quality of most important decisions.